Iran is entering 2026 under simultaneous pressure across three core lines of effort: internal stability, strategic deterrence (nuclear and conventional), and regional escalation management.

This article examines four sovereign states frequently referenced in global risk and governance assessments: Somalia, Afghanistan, Haiti, and South Sudan.

Cuba faces acute domestic stress, energy shortages, inflation, and emigration, while its international relevance is again rising amid renewed great-power competition in the Americas.

Written by Kevin T. Welch, PhD. France coordinating contingency plans with allies in case the U.S. moves on Greenland isn’t…

Written by Kevin T. Welch, PhD. Modern intelligence failures rarely stem from missing information; they arise from fragmentation. Signals are…

Forecasting geopolitics is inherently uncertain. Still, a set of recurring risk themes appears across major risk forecasters and credible reporting:…

Written by Kevin T. Welch, PhD The defining constraint on contemporary intelligence is no longer access to information. It is…

These are the ten most important global issues shaping the world today, viewed through a big-picture lens rather than the news cycle.

The modern media landscape is more fragmented than at any point in history. This division is not accidental. It is structural, economic, and psychological.

Cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche technological experiment into a strategic variable in global geopolitics.