In an abrupt decision that marks the end of one of the most enduring public reference outlets in American intelligence…
Browsing: Intelligence
Recent science and technology developments are signaling a structural shift in how breakthroughs are produced and where impact is concentrated.…
Headlines of the moment reveal how internal policy battles can’t be fully understood without looking beyond national borders, and vice versa.
As automation accelerates, data analysis has become cheap. Statistical rigor has not.
By Kevin Welch, PhD Why the most consequential geopolitical confrontations of the decade may be scripted performances—engineered to force adversaries…
By Kevin T. Welch, PhD. The crisis unfolding across Iran has shifted from episodic protest waves to a strategic breakdown…
This article examines four sovereign states frequently referenced in global risk and governance assessments: Somalia, Afghanistan, Haiti, and South Sudan.
Cuba faces acute domestic stress, energy shortages, inflation, and emigration, while its international relevance is again rising amid renewed great-power competition in the Americas.
Written by Kevin T. Welch, PhD. Modern intelligence failures rarely stem from missing information; they arise from fragmentation. Signals are…
Forecasting geopolitics is inherently uncertain. Still, a set of recurring risk themes appears across major risk forecasters and credible reporting:…